金融资产管理公司发展前景分析

金融资产管理公司负责接收、管理和处置四大国有银行长期以来遗留下的不良资产。自成立以来，金融资产管理公司成绩斐然。在2003年4家公司经营目标的基础上，本文分析了我国金融资产管理公司完成使命的最后期限，如何加快资产处置速度和3年后金融资产管理公司的发展前景。     

Problems and environment of small businesses in the Czech Republic

The impressive and spontaneous build-up of the private small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the Czech Republic in 1990–93 coincided with the similarly dramatic changes in the public administration and in the whole environment for decision-making. The resulting problems of SMEs in the Czech Republic seem to be common to all economies in transition. A lot of the problems are caused by the macroeconomic policy for which this sector is not the most important part of the national economy. The paper shows some conflicts between macroeconomic anti-inflationary (monetary and fiscal) policies, and interests of small businesses. The authors stress the importance of SMEs during the period of transition. Informal aspects of the functioning of small firms are discussed, especially their relation with banks and public administration. The paper offers some empirical evidence and available statistics on SMEs developments during 1990–94 focusing particularly on manufacturing.     

Book Reviews

Andrew MacIntyre (ed.), Business and Government in Industrialising Asia, Allen & Unwin, Sydney, 1994, pp. xii + 312. Paper: A$29.95.

John Bresnan, From Dominoes to Dynamos: The Transformation of Southeast Asia, Council on Foreign Relations, New York, 1994, pp. x + 115. $17.95.

Anthony Reid, Southeast Asia in the Age of Commerce 1450–1680: Volume Two, Expansion and Crisis, Yale University Press, New Haven and London, 1993, pp. xv + 390.

Binhadi, Financial Sector Deregulation, Banking Development and Monetary Policy: The Indonesian Experience (1983–1993), Indonesian Bankers' Institute, Jakarta, 1995.

Anwar Shah and Zia Qureshi, with Amaresh Bagchi, Brian Binder, and Heng-fu Zou, Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations in Indonesia: Issues and Reform Options, World Bank Discussion Papers 239, Washington DC, pp. xxxii + 279. $17.95; A$425.00; NZ$30.25.

Jacqueline Vel, The Uma-economy: Indigenous Economics and Development Work in Lawonda, Sumba (Eastern-Indonesia), Wageningen, pp. xiv + 283. $20.00 + $8 postage & handling.

Joao Mariano de Sousa Saldanha, The Political Economy of East Timor Development, translated by Theresia Slamet and P.G. Kattopo, Pustaka Sinar Harapan, Jakarta, 1994, pp. 414.

Jan-Paul Dirkse, Frans H$uUsken and Mario Rutten (eds), Development and Social Welfare: Indonesia's Experiences under the New Order, KITLV Press, Leiden, 1993, pp. 267.

W.G. Huff, The Economic Growth of Singapore: Trade and Development in the Twentieth Century, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994, pp. xxi + 472. A$60.

Saha Dhevan Meyanathan (ed.), Industrial Structures and the Development of Small and Medium Enterprise Linkages: Examples from East Asia, The World Bank (Economic Development Institute of the World Bank Seminar Series), Washington DC, 1994, pp. v + 158. Paper: $9.95.

Thee Kian Wie, Industrialisasi di Indonesia: Beberapa Kajian, LP3ES, Jakarta, pp. xxvi + 278 (including Introduction by Mari Pangestu).     

解决不良贷款问题需要综合治理

本文结合国有商业银行处理不良贷款工作的实际，以及商业银行实际的财务成果，参照发达国家商业银行的一些指标，选择了不良贷款治理诸因素的区间，证明在目前的环境下仅靠银行治理不良贷款，对银行来说要求很高，笔者认为，在我国向外资金融机构全面开放之前，解决不良贷款问题的目标是要在党中央、国务院的统一领导下，政府、银行、企业共同努力，运用各方面的资源，从银行法人治理结构、社会信用、政府支持、市场创新诸方面综合治理，为治理不良贷款提供一个良好的环境支持。     

Long term dependence in stock returns

We show, using the modified rescaled range statistic, that none of the return series of indices of five European countries, the United States and Japan exhibits long term dependence. This statistic — introduced by Lo (1991) — correct Hurst's (1951) ‘classical’ rescaled range statistic for short term dependence. We also report the classical rescaled range statistic after adjusting the series for short term dependence. This procedure shows, for cases where the results of the modified rescaled range statistic are mixed, that no long term dependence can be found. Simulations indicate reasonable power of this adjustment procedure. Furthermore, we find that estimates of the Hurst exponent, a related measure of long term dependence, are also biased by short term dependence. Simulations show that this measure — that has recently attracted growing interest — cannot distinguish between models with or without long term dependence.     

国内金融市场完全开放对国有商业银行的影响

按照入世协定书中的开放时间表,我国在入世5年后也即2006年底将实行金融业的全面开放。本文认为,我国金融市场完全开放将对国内商业银行带来深远影响:一是在政策层面,经济政策、金融政策、配套政策的进一步开放将使金融业的进入门槛降低,从而带来竞争主体的多元和竞争的更加市场化;二是在市场层面,客户的金融知识的普及和客户的议价能力的提高造成客户对银行需求也在不断提高;三是在竞争层面上,竞争主体、竞争模式和竞争手段的改变将使银行业面临更为复杂的竞争局面。为应对上述影响,国有商业银行应根据自身优势,扬长避短,根据不同情况,综合运用不同战略,以期达到持续发展的目标。     

业务流程再造与组织结构变革——中国工商银行厦门分行扁平化改革的探索与实践

业务流程再造和组织结构变革是构造科学公司治理结构的重要一环。2005年上半年,作为工商银行总行进行城市行机构扁平化改革试点的厦门分行,在整合业务流程、优化组织架构、完善管理机制等方面进行了积极的探索,同年8月对辖属网点全面实施了直通式管理。厦门分行的扁平化改革遵循“以推行集约化经营为目标,整合业务流程,以梳理业务流程为基础,优化组织架构”的总体思路,坚持以客户为中心、以效益为导向、以内控为基础和以人为本、循序渐进的原则,实行分行-支行两级机构管理模式,合理确定网点支行的管理半径,分专业进行业务流程重组,取得了一定的成绩。     

混业经营制度下国有商业银行产品创新战略研究

对于国有商业银行来说,加入WTO后如何确定产品创新的战略目标和策略,发挥核心产品的优势为客户提供满足个性化需求的金融产品,从而赢得客户、扩大市场份额,是一项重大课题。本文从混业经营制度下的商业银行产品创新入手,分析了国内分业经营制度下,商业银行产品创新存在不能有效利用各要素市场,不能满足客户个性化需求,无法适应市场竞争的不足及其原因。在此基础上,作者提出了国有商业银行混业经营的目标路径和步骤;在混业经营制度下的产品创新战略定位选择;国有商业银行金融产品创新策略,包括机制创新、队伍创新、平台创新和产品创新。     

农业发展银行客户战略研究

本文对农业发展银行客户战略进行了研究。     

The Friday Effect in European Securitized Real Estate Index Returns

This study extends research on the day-of-the-week effect towards European real estate indices. We examine this anomaly for several European securitized real estate index returns between 1990 and 2003. Although the countries under analysis have unique country-specific patterns, we find that eight out of eleven European countries exhibit abnormally high Friday returns. Moreover, two different Europe indices also exhibit the Friday anomaly. The anomaly is robust with respect to extreme observations, alternative specifications and several well-known calendar effects.